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Seminar in Economics | The Impact of Divorce Laws in the Equilibrium in the Marriage Market with Ana Reynoso

Department of Economics welcomes you to a seminar with Ana Reynoso, Assistant Professor of Economics at University of Michigan, who will be speaking on "The impact of divorce laws in the equilibrium in the marriage market". This paper investigates how the adoption of unilateral divorce affects the gains from marriage and who marries whom. Exploiting variation in the timing of adoption across the US states, I first show that unilateral divorce increases assortative matching among newlyweds.

Welcome to this Higher Seminar in Economics organised by the Department of Economics, SSE. The seminar speaker is Ana Reynoso, University of Michigan, who will present the paper “The impact of divorce laws in the equilibrium in the marriage market”.

Abstract

This paper investigates how the adoption of unilateral divorce affects the gains from marriage and who marries whom. Exploiting variation in the timing of adoption across the US states, I first show that unilateral divorce increases assortative matching among newlyweds. To explain the link between divorce laws and matching patterns, I specify an equilibrium model of household formation, labor supply, private and public consumption, and divorce over the lifecycle. Matching decisions depend on the anticipated welfare from marriage and divorce. The model has two key features (consistent with the data). First, working spouses whose partners do not work accumulate relatively more human capital during their lifetime, a fact that improves their outside value of divorce. Second, divorcees cannot sustain cooperation in public goods expenditures (interpreted as kids’ welfare), leading to inefficiencies that are mostly harmful to the top educated. Under unilateral divorce, the value of divorce becomes a credible threat that shifts the bargaining power in marriage, making both household production and marriage less attractive. This pushes the marriage market equilibrium towards more positive sorting in education and lower welfare, particularly for the most educated. I estimate the model using data from households that form and live under the pre-reform mutual consent divorce regime. Using the estimates, I then simulate the introduction of unilateral divorce and solve for the new equilibrium. I find sizable equilibrium effects. First, the correlation in spousal education increases and people, particularly educated females, become more likely to remain single. Second, the gains from marriage decrease for the most and the least educated with the largest impact seen for college educated females. Lastly, the marital welfare gains from acquiring a college or higher degree decreases for both males and females. These results reflect previously overlooked consequences of reducing barriers to divorce.

Ana Reynoso is Assistant Professor of Economics at University of Michigan. Ana's fields of specialization are Labor Economics, Family Economics, and Economic Development. Areas of research include how policy affects marital matching patterns and the gains from marriage for different groups in both developed and developing countries. Ana is also interested in the impact of teaching practices and school schedules on children’s outcomes.

This seminar takes place online via Zoom.

Please contact kristen.pendleton@hhs.se if you would like to attend the webinar or have other questions.

Dept. of Economics Gender Equality Family economics Economics Seminar in economics