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Seminar in Economics | with Ramon Marimon

Department of Economics welcomes you to a seminar with Ramon Marimon, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

Welcome to this Higher Seminar in Economics organized by the Department of Economics, SSE. The seminar speaker is Ramon Marimon, a Professor of Economics at Universitat Pompeu Fabra, who will present "On a Lender of Last Resort with a Central Bank and a Stability Fund" 

Abstract

We explore the complementarity between a central bank and a financial stability Fund in stabilizing sovereign debt markets. The central bank pursuing its mandate can intervene with public sector purchasing programs, buying sovereign debt in the secondary market, provided that the debt is safe. The sovereign sells its debt to private lenders, through market auctions. Furthermore, it has access to a long-term state-contingent contract with a Fund: a countryspecific debt-and-insurance contract that accounts for no-default and sustainability constraints. The Fund needs to guarantee gross-financial-needs and no-over-lending. We show that these constraints endogenously determine the ‘optimal debt maturity’ structure that minimizes the Required Fund Capacity (RFC) to make all sovereign debt safe. However, the Fund may have limited absorption capacity and fall short of its RFC. The central bank may be able to cover the difference, in which case there is perfect complementarity and the joint institutions act as an effective ‘lender of last resort’. We calibrate our model to the Italian economy and find that with a Fund contract its ‘optimal debt maturity’ is 3 years with an RFC of 125% of its GDP, which is above what the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) could reasonably absorb, but may be feasible with an ECB Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) intervention. In contrast, the average maturity of Italian sovereign debt has been circa 6.2 years, with a needed absorption capacity of around 135% of GDP, which calls for a maturity restructure to ease the activation of TPI.

 

The seminar takes place at Stockholm School of Economics, Sveavägen 65, room 750.

Please contact nicola.donohoe@hhs.se if you have any questions.

Dept. of Economics Economics Seminar in economics